(c) PC Magazine.
November 2, 2005
Oб этом же, в сущности - про исполняемые на Web программы, как очередной инструмент, гарантирующий светлое будущее всего
- George Colony sees the future of the Internet led by Google, with the online experience replacing web pages with executable programs ("we call this executable Internet (X Internet)"). A pretty rosy picture of a Google future for the enterprise exists in Colony's forecast, which was made available today...
Microsoft doesn't come out very well in Colony's future, where the X Internet makes the Windows and Office purveyor "an obvious loser," with Oracle and SAP besieged by the challenges of hosted application providers.
"Vista (formerly Longhorn) had better be fantastic, and Microsoft had better be able to re-spark its culture of derivative innovation," Colony wrote.
Google's programming culture gives it an edge here, Colony contended, and he claims that competitors like Amazon, AOL, eBay, and Yahoo don't know programming like Google does. That's a viewpoint where Google's competition will disagree.
It wouldn't be a Forrester report without a handy list, and Colony gives readers one regarding Google's possible plans:
So here's Google's playbook:
1) have the best search;
2) have more of the world to search than anyone else through the digitization of university libraries, earth images, maps, etc.;
3) attract the most advertising and syndication; enabling the company to
4) give all of its software away for free; which enables it to
5) change the rules and economics of the software business and define the future through its pioneering work in X Internet.
Примечание: However, the most telling bit of Colony's forecast came as he discussed his predictions last year about Google: "I was wrong." Maybe it isn't time to dump Microsoft's stock just yet.