Washington Post-ABC News Poll
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September
29-October 2 2011, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including
landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have
a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling,
data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job
as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
10/2/11 42 21 21 54 14 40 4
9/1/11 43 21 22 53 16 38 3
8/9/11* 44 18 26 46 9 37 10
7/17/11 47 25 22 48 14 35 5
6/5/11 47 27 20 49 13 37 4
5/2/11** 56 29 27 38 14 24 6
4/17/11 47 27 21 50 12 37 3
3/13/11 51 27 24 45 12 33 4
1/16/11 54 30 23 43 15 28 3
12/12/10 49 24 25 47 15 32 4
10/28/10 50 27 23 45 11 34 5
10/28/10 LV 46 31 15 52 8 44 2
10/3/10 50 26 24 47 13 34 3
9/2/10 46 24 22 52 14 38 3
7/11/10 50 28 22 47 12 35 3
6/6/10 52 30 22 45 12 33 4
4/25/10 54 31 23 44 11 33 3
3/26/10 53 34 20 43 8 35 3
2/8/10 51 29 22 46 12 33 3
1/15/10 53 30 24 44 13 32 2
12/13/09 50 31 18 46 13 33 4
11/15/09 56 32 23 42 13 29 2
10/18/09 57 33 23 40 11 29 3
9/12/09 54 35 19 43 12 31 3
8/17/09 57 35 21 40 11 29 3
7/18/09 59 38 22 37 9 28 4
6/21/09 65 36 29 31 10 22 4
4/24/09 69 42 27 26 8 18 4
3/29/09 66 40 26 29 9 20 5
2/22/09 68 43 25 25 8 17 7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center poll
20. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) What's the single most important issue to
you in your choice for the Republican candidate for president?
10/2/11 Economy/jobs 51 Deficit/debt/spending 13 Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government 7 Taxes 4 Health care 4 Morals/family values 3 Social Security 2 Immigration 1 Size/role of government 1 Education 1 Leadership 1 Business 1 Military 1 Beating Barack Obama 1 Conservative 1 Qualifications/Experience 1 Foreign policy 1 Gun control 1 Other 4 No opinion 5
20a. (IF ECONOMY/JOBS) After the economy/jobs, what’s the next most important
issue?
10/2/11 Taxes 19 Health care 11 Foreign policy 10 Deficit/debt/spending 10 Terrorism/security 8 Education 6 Immigration 5 War in Afghanistan 5 Military 4 Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government 2 Housing/Mortgages 2 Size/role of government 2 Beating Barack Obama 1 Conservative 1 Gun control 1 Morals/family values 1 Social Security 1 Other 1 No opinion 6
21. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary
or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (Michele
Bachmann), (Herman Cain), (Chris Christie), (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman),
(Sarah Palin), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For
whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?
NOTE: HORSE RACE FOR ALL ANNOUNCED CANDIDATES, SEE 21/23/24 BELOW
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
All leaned Reps. Among RVs
10/2/11 10/2/11
Mitt Romney 21 20
Herman Cain 14 15
Rick Perry 14 15
Chris Christie 10 10
Sarah Palin 9 8
Ron Paul 9 7
Newt Gingrich 6 7
Michele Bachmann 4 4
Rick Santorum 1 2
Jon Huntsman 1 1
Other (vol.) 1 2
No one/None of them (vol.) 3 3
Would not vote (vol.) * *
No opinion 6 6
28. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, would
you say that the more you hear about [ITEM] (the more you like him/her), or the
more you hear about [ITEM] (the less you like him/her)?
10/2/11 - Summary Table
More you Less you Makes no Haven’t heard No
like like diff. (vol.) enough (vol.) opinion
a. Mitt Romney 38 35 10 11 6
b. Rick Perry 30 44 4 15 6
c. Sarah Palin 35 49 9 2 6
d. Chris Christie 43 23 4 20 9
e. Herman Cain 47 18 2 25 9
29. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) What's more important to you: supporting
the presidential candidate in your party (who you agree with most on the
issues), or the candidate (who's most likely to win in November 2012)?
Agree on Most likely Same Both Neither No
issues to win person (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) op.
10/2/11 73 20 1 2 1 3
2/25/07 85 13 0 * 1 1
30. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, between
only (Romney) and (Perry), who do you think [ITEM]?
10/2/11 - Summary Table
Both Neither No
Romney Perry (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Better understands the problems of
people like you 37 40 2 7 15
b. Has the better experience to be
president 50 30 3 3 13
c. Is closer to you on the issues 37 43 2 4 14
d. Has the better chance to defeat Barack
Obama in the general election 51 31 5 3 10
31. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, between
only (Romney) and (Perry), who do you trust more to handle (ITEM)?
10/2/11 - Summary Table
Both Neither No
Romney Perry (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. Social Security 41 34 2 5 19
b. The economy 44 35 3 5 14
c. Health care 35 42 1 7 15
d. Immigration 41 34 1 8 16
e. The federal budget deficit 44 34 2 5 15
33. Obama has announced that he is running for re-election in 2012. Would you
say you will definitely vote for him, you’ll consider voting for him, or you
definitely will not vote for him?
Definitely Will Definitely No
will consider will not opinion
10/2/11 22 30 46 2
10/2/11 RV 23 29 46 2
8/9/11*** 20 33 44 2
8/9/11*** RV 21 30 46 2
6/5/11 24 29 45 1
6/5/11 RV 25 27 47 1
4/17/11 28 25 45 2
4/17/11 RV 30 23 46 1
12/12/10* 26 30 43 2
12/12/10* RV 26 28 44 2
11/23/09** 24 31 41 4
*”If Obama runs...would you...”
**"Thinking ahead to 2012, at this point would you..."
***Washington Post
34. If (NAME) wins the Republican nomination for president would you
definitely vote for him in the general election for president in 2012, would you
consider voting for him or would you definitely not vote for him?
10/02/11 - Summary Table
Definitely Would Definitely No
would consider would not opinion
a. Mitt Romney 19 37 37 7
b. Rick Perry 17 31 44 7
Trend where available:
a. Mitt Romney
Definitely Would Definitely No
would consider would not opinion
10/2/11 19 37 37 7
9/30/07 8 28 57 7
4/15/07 7 32 54 8
b. No trend.
35. If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for
whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP
10/2/11 - Summary Table
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Rep. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
a. Mitt Romney 47 46 * 3 1 2
b. Rick Perry 49 44 1 3 2 2
c. Chris Christie 46 44 1 3 2 3
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS
10/2/11 - Summary Table
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Rep. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
a. Mitt Romney 46 48 * 2 1 2
b. Rick Perry 49 46 1 2 1 2
c. Chris Christie 45 45 1 3 2 3
Trend where available:
a. Mitt Romney
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
10/2/11 47 46 * 3 1 2
9/1/11 46 47 * 2 3 2
7/17/11 51 44 * 2 1 2
6/5/11 47 47 * 2 1 2
4/17/11 49 45 * 3 1 2
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
10/2/11 RV 46 48 * 2 1 2
9/1/11 RV 45 49 * 2 2 2
7/17/11 RV 49 47 * 2 1 1
6/5/11 RV 46 49 * 2 1 2
36. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election
next year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?
Obama Rep candidate No opinion 10/2/11 37 55 8
37. What is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you
support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it
strongly?
-------- Support -------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
10/2/11 42 12 30 47 20 27 11
9/1/11 47 13 35 45 18 27 8
7/17/11 44 13 31 46 23 24 10
6/5/11 46 13 33 44 21 24 10
4/17/11 42 16 26 49 21 27 10
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what? IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you lean
more towards the (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party)?
10/2/11 Democrat 32 Republican 25 Independent 37 Other (vol.) 4 No opinion 1
908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal,
moderate, or conservative?
10/2/11 Liberal 20 Moderate 36 Conservative 41 Don’t think in those terms (vol.) 1 No opinion 1
INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual
household income before taxes, from all sources?
10/2/11 Less than $50,000 55 Less than $20K 21 $20K to $35K 19 $35K to $50K 15 More than $50,000 45 $50K to $75K 15 $75K to $100K 12 $100K+ 17
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Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_100211.html
Мне показался одним из наиболее информативных 28-ой раздел опроса где задавали следующий вопрос про кандидатов от республиканцской партии: чем больше вы узнаете про него, тем больше или тем меньше он Вам нравится. Оказалось что по этомупараметру сравнения впереди все идет Herman Cain с cамым выигрышным по этому параметру сравнения итогом 47 / 18